Given that inventories are drawing this early in the cycle, we see a structural bull market for commodities emerging in 2021.” We concur. From a total return perspective, the S&P 500 is just 4% off its highs. And in another word: Batteries. NIO: There’s a New Bull in Town. The Mounting Evidence of a New Bitcoin Bull Market From positive price indicators to a new all time high in smallholder addresses, this is the evidence a new bull run might be starting. JP Morgan Cazenove was one of four 'houses' to update its analysis . In this way, Nio’s BaaS strategy also helps to differentiate Nio’s offerings, and builds a moat around the business. Initiating coverage on the “epitome of Chinese luxury brand[s]” and “domestic leader in EV manufacturing,” Nomura analyst Martin Heung argues that even after its steep run-up, Nio stock remains a “buy” and has at least another 30% to run (above Friday’s closing share price of $61.95). Five Reasons Ethereum Has Entered a New Bull Market. Crucial resistance on the way up could be at $0.32, as well as $0.55 and $0.80. Contributor. No representations and warranties are made as to the reasonableness of the assumptions. Via Goldman: Certain assumptions have been made for modeling purposes and are unlikely to be realized. Info Twitter. Lafferty sees considerable upside for shares. New signing Sergio Perez said he felt "like a dog finding a new family" at Red Bull and promised on Wednesday to help push performance and over … The last couple of weeks has seen a big jump higher. A A. More about me here.  For disclosure information please see here.Â. 4. Read why R.F. Joseph Young Analyst @ CryptoSlate. And you can see the majority of that outperformance has occurred in the past month or so: The biggest tech stocks were absolutely propping up the stock market during the downturn and when the recovery first began. NIO: There’s a New Bull in Town TipRanks Team. Backtested results are calculated by the retroactive application of a model constructed on the basis of historical data and based on assumptions integral to the model which may or may not be testable and are subject to losses. Up more than 1,150% in the past year, Chinese electric-vehicle maker NIO turned into one of the best-performing stocks of 2020 — but one analyst thinks there are more gains to come. Treasury yields fell off a cliff once the crisis began but both 30 year and 10 year rates bottomed in early-March: That big spike in rates following the low points came when even treasuries sold off at the height of the crisis. Since trades have not actually been executed, results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity, and may not reflect the impact that certain economic or market factors may have had on the decision-making process. A bull run is when the price surges exponentially in a matter of a few days/weeks. As the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the S&P 500 sank into a bear phase with the indices plummeting over 5 per cent each on Wednesday, analysts at Goldman Sachs expect a new ‘bull-market’ will be born later this year. Here’s something you may not know — the Nasdaq 100 Index now has 19 new all-time highs in 2020 alone. Rates then went right back down but have been slowly rising ever since. Maybe this blog post will mark the top of a new bear market. This makes it a likely benefactor of a bull market, as rising stock prices will allow its primary customers to raise more cash by issuing new stock. Howard Gold's No-Nonsense Investing Opinion: New bull market in stocks could last three years and may produce another 30% in gains, veteran strategist says … Now look at what’s happened since the bottom: The riskier (some would say junkier) stocks are going bananas. Jan 24, 2021. I mean, small caps just made new all-time highs this week for the first time since August 31 of 2018. The TipRanks Smart Score performance is based on backtested results. By Portfolio Adviser, 17 Nov 20. In early April while inquiring What Happened to Small Cap Value? Former Red Bull Formula 1 driver Alexander Albon has landed a new ride backed by the team for 2021 in the DTM sports car series in Germany. Not only has Ethereum blasted its way to a 30-month price high, but several on-chain metrics are also indicative that the asset is definitely in a new bull market. In one word: Growth. Who knows. Are mining stocks on a new bull run? Maybe this blog post will mark the top of a new bear market. Please note all regulatory considerations regarding the presentation of fees must be taken into account. Mike Bell: The birth of a new bull market. Is this whole thing a ridiculous short-term market comparison? https://ritholtzwealth.com/blog-disclosures/, Why It’s So Hard to Change Your Mind About the Markets. JPMAM global market strategist is excited to watch both his recently-born daughter and the next bull market grow. Goldman Sachs is now on board, and now sees a new secular commodities bull market that exceeds the 2000-2008 commodities bull market. Who knows. All of the above, says Heung, positions Nio to become “the dominant power in China,” in electric vehicles, at a time when EV adoption is surging, says the analyst. There are a number of reasons interest rates rise — supply & demand in the bond market, higher economic growth, rising inflation expectations, government bond-buying programs, etc. There were plenty of investors who assumed the initial bounce was of the dead feline variety. New all-time highs in the Nasdaq 100. Technology stocks are once again at all-time highs. Experts say that the Bitcoin price on the daily chart must close above the $11,250 mark to continue its upward trend. (See NIO stock analysis on TipRanks). A new episode of Bull airs tonight on CBS as the show returns to its regular time slot. According to Goldman Sachs equity strategist, Ryan Hammond, the stock market bull may stick with us for a while. Based on 8 Buys and 6 Holds, the analyst consensus is a Moderate Buy. So why does Heung like Nio? But ridiculous market moves are happening with regularity in the short-term this year. Further Reading: The Craziest Charts of the Year (So Far), For disclosure information please visit: https://ritholtzwealth.com/blog-disclosures/, A Wealth of Common Sense is a blog that focuses on wealth management, investments, financial markets and investor psychology. Tesla has a new bull in Masterlink Securities. “The current rally is either the first up-leg of a new bull market or the second-largest bear-market rally in the past 125 years,” he says. By David Llewellyn-Smith in Australian Shares. The pseudonymous analyst “MAGIC” recently shared a very optimistic price analysis for XRP via Twitter. Goldman: New bull market just starting. Most of those took place before the crash but here we are again. To find good ideas for EV stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks’ Best Stocks to Buy, a newly launched tool that unites all of TipRanks’ equity insights. Photo by Bechir Kaddech on Unsplash. That skepticism, of course, is the veritable Wall of Worry that bull markets like to climb. Every month you'll receive 3-4 book suggestions--chosen by hand from more than 1,000 books. Feb 17, 2021. “Conservatively,” says the analyst, by as early as 2025 16.5% of new cars sold in the Middle Kingdom should be electrics, which implies an overall 31% annual sales growth rate for the industry (and probably a faster growth rate for leaders like Nio). The indicator showed the last buying opportunity before BTC rose to $20,000. Backtested results are adjusted to reflect the reinvestment of dividends and other income and, except where otherwise indicated, are presented gross-of fees and do not include the effect of backtested transaction costs, management fees, performance fees or expenses, if applicable. Imagine someone told you this in March when it seemed like 60%-70% losses were on the table. General assumptions include: XYZ firm would have been able to purchase the securities recommended by the model and the markets were sufficiently liquid to permit all trading. All someone has to do is pick up any Red Bull multipack, scan the code on the can and choose any of the five athletes to play games with. at 12:00 pm on February 5, 2021 | 5 comments. She's pretty cute, sweet, and easy to be around. Changes in these assumptions may have a material impact on the backtested returns presented. The DAX ain’t looking half-bad either. This information is provided for illustrative purposes only. So I think strategically we're in a new bull market phase. The firm set a $750 price target with a "Buy" rating for the electric automaker's stock. Value stocks are outperforming growth stocks. Hammond notes that interest rates remain low, and sees this as the key factor. The market doesn’t care about bull and bear labels. Specifically, backtested results do not reflect actual trading or the effect of material economic and market factors on the decision-making process. Backtested performance is not an indicator of future actual results. On February 6, 2021 3:11 am In Business, Viewpoint by Rasheed Sobowale. Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the featured analyst. TipRanks Team TipRanks Published. A technical indicator points to a new bull run. 3. 2. Bull Terrier Roswell, We've got a full-breed bull terrier that we need to rehome. Typically, a stock or index is said to be in a bear phase if the benchmark extends its decline to 20 per cent. Further, backtesting allows the security selection methodology to be adjusted until past returns are maximized. Enter your email to receive our newsletter. Fisker (FSR) stock lands a new buy rating from Wall Street. Even valuing the stock at a 25% discount to the prices investors are paying for its highest profile US rival, Tesla (on a price-to-sales basis), Heung feels these factors justify placing an $80.30 price target on Nio stock. High beta stocks are on a tear. This is peak-to-trough drawdowns through the bottom of the bear for high beta and low volatility stocks: This makes sense since high beta names are typically higher risk stocks while low vol names tend to be higher quality stocks. But you know, when you add it all up, I mean, this is a new bull market, right? It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment. Interest rates are rising. TECHNICALLY, THE MARKET ENTERS a bull phase only when the transports and the broader Dow Jones Industrial Average both make new highs. Author: Martin Young Last Updated Nov 26, 2020 @ 04:32. My daughter was born this year and so was a new bull market. Swappable batteries, notes the analyst, helps to eliminate customers’ range anxiety at the same time as it reduces wait times at charging stations, improving the customer experience in two different ways. TipRanks is a comprehensive investing tool that allows private investors and day traders to see the measured performance of anyone who provides financial advice. Chart 3 Editor's Note: This is an article that was originally published in John Murphy's Market Message on Wednesday, December 30th at 2:56pm ET. She was born on October 31st, making her a Halloween Pup! However, going by the $59.40 average price target, shares are anticipated to be changing hands at a 4% discount. Home » Crypto News » Five Reasons Ethereum Has Entered a New Bull Market. No cash balance or cash flow is included in the calculation. But the secular trend is probably likely to be quite similar in terms of leadership . On the growth front, Heung observes that EV-friendly infrastructure in China is improving, encouraging more car buyers to make the leap to electrics. Share this article Tweet Post Share Post Email. Up more than 1,150% in the past year, Chinese electric-vehicle maker NIO (NIO) turned into one of the best-performing stocks of 2020 — but one analyst thinks there are more gains to come. Helping Nio to maintain a market-leading position in China will be its “batteries as a service” (BaaS) business model, in which Nio sells cars to customers, leases the batteries to run those cars — and then offers customers the ability to swap out their current batteries for new, fully-charged batteries as a faster alternative to charging the batteries. That is not the case anymore. Actual performance may differ significantly from backtested performance. Although the bull run seems to have begun and the price of bitcoin high, considering, the peak of $118,000, it is still too early. But this market has been acting like a new bull market may be underway. 5. XpresSpa Stock Has a New Bull on Wall Street TipRanks Team. Stocks could certainly still rollover. I manage portfolios for institutions and individuals at Ritholtz Wealth Management LLC. A Whole New Ab-Normal Unlike prior bull and bear cycles, the global economy today, unlike say 1973, 1979 or 2010, is flat-out broke, with global debt limping toward $280T and global GDP 1/3 of that horrific number. A New Bull Market by Common Sense Investing published on 2020-09-16T13:39:18Z On this episode of Common Sense Investing we discuss the possibility that we have begun a new bull market in stocks. So, that’s Nomura’s view. New signing Sergio Perez said he felt “like a dog finding a new family” at Red Bull and promised on Wednesday to help push performance and over … “By improving swapping time to only three minutes” and by placing such battery swapping stations throughout “most parts of the major cities in China, NIO hopes to redefine the whole user experience of owning an EV,” says Heung. Small stocks are outperforming big stocks. Small caps, mid caps and the equal-weighted S&P 500 are finally outperforming the larger cap S&P 500 companies in this run-up in prices: And look at the performance divergence since the middle of May: Large cap stocks are still beating these other components over the course of the year and have outperformed for some time but I’m sure there are plenty of diversified investors breathing a sigh of relief that these other companies are finally showing signs of life. I’m excited … There were plenty of investors who assumed the initial bounce was of the dead feline variety. A pre-bull run is when the price consolidates into higher highs and small corrections in preparation for a bull run. Stocks could certainly still rollover. The results reflect performance of a strategy not historically offered to investors and does not represent returns that any investor actually attained. You'll also receive an extensive curriculum (books, articles, papers, videos) in PDF form right away. Emerging markets have broken out of their 12-year wedge… We’ve been talking about this one for months, but the yearly chart of the Nikkei is just *chef’s kiss*. With the Red Bull AR App's help, fans will be able to play games with some of the biggest names in the brand! Red Bull is getting interactive in a whole new way. New POTUS, New Gold Bull Market? Rates are still unbelievably low by historical standards but well off their crisis lows. Widening and deepening that moat even further (to steal a phrase from Warren Buffett), Nio is encouraging customers to sign up for long-term, five-year battery leases in exchange for a lower cost per year — essentially locking customers into its ecosystem for the lease term. One influential investment bank thinks so. I showed how small value stocks typically do better than large cap stocks coming out of a bear market: These are the returns from the market bottom towards the end of March for the Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR) and the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ): Tiny sample size but small cap value is finally beating larger cap growth. But the DJIA is … Granted, we’re coming off the lowest nominal yields ever in U.S. treasuries so it doesn’t take much movement to see a spike. Additionally, at some point electrics should reach critical mass (Heung estimates this will happen at 20% market penetration), which will convince even more car buyers to transition to electrics — accelerating sales growth further. The new bull market, for example, was confirmed at the close of trading on Tuesday given the S&P 500's fresh record close. The content is intended to be used for informational purposes only. In a new bull cycle, Ripple’s XRP could rise to as high as USD 0.92 according to analyst “MAGIC”. The market doesn’t care about bull and bear labels. Unfortunately, she doesn't do well with our other dog. That's a good thing. Kindly Share This Story: Joe Biden’s election as … This longer range perspective suggests that the copper producer is still in the early stages of a new bull trend, and probably has a lot further to run. Bitcoin has started to recover from its drop below $17,600. But this market has been acting like a new bull market may be underway. Backtested performance is developed with the benefit of hindsight and has inherent limitations. Jan 24, 2021 9:36AM EST. Let’s have a look at what the rest of the Street has in mind for NIO shares. The market gods may strike me down with a bolt of lightning for this one but here goes: 1. Additionally, when arguably the most expensive and most important part of an electric car — the battery — is removed from the equation, customers will no longer need to worry about whether an aged car battery might reduce the resale value of their cars years down the road, removing yet another impediment to making a sale. 2 min read.